Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Seoul win, Bucheon win, or tie), making it logically impossible to distinguish a false resolution. Polymarket markets have mutually exclusive, well-defined resolution criteria tied to specific score thresholds and outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is fundamentally unresolvable because every possible match outcome triggers a YES resolution. All Polymarket markets are tradeable with clear, mutually exclusive logic; focus trading activity there.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: All markets resolve based on mutually exclusive match outcomes and score thresholds. Spread markets resolve YES if the named team wins by the specified margin; O/U markets resolve YES if combined goals meet or exceed the threshold; BTTS resolves YES only if both teams score. Each outcome maps to exactly one resolution state. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to [outcome] if [specific condition]. Otherwise, this market will resolve to [opposite outcome].'
Kalshi: The three markets (Bucheon win, Tie, Seoul win) each resolve to YES regardless of which outcome actually occurs. The resolution logic states 'If [outcome X] wins... then the market resolves to Yes' for all three outcomes simultaneously, creating a logical contradiction where every possible result triggers YES across all three markets. Key quote: 'If Bucheon wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Seoul wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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