TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace
Volume:
$896,955
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
FC Nantes and RC Strasbourg Alsace will compete in a Ligue 1 match scheduled for March 22, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard three-outcome soccer match (Nantes win, Strasbourg win, or draw).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents three separate binary markets that collectively cover all possible outcomes (Nantes win, Tie, Strasbourg win), each resolving to Yes independently. Polymarket presents three separate binary markets (Draw, Nantes win, Strasbourg win) that are mutually exclusive, with exactly one resolving Yes and the others No. The fundamental resolution structure differs: Kalshi's markets are not mutually exclusive, while Polymarket's are.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, understand that all three markets could theoretically resolve Yes simultaneously if the platform treats them as independent outcome confirmations rather than mutually exclusive results. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve Yes and the others No, creating a true mutually exclusive outcome set. Verify with each platform how they handle the logical relationship between their markets before placing bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers three independent binary markets, each asking 'Does outcome X occur?' with each market resolving to Yes if its specific outcome (Nantes win, Tie, or Strasbourg win) occurs. The rules state 'If [outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes' for each, implying each market is evaluated independently without explicit mutual exclusivity constraints.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome can resolve Yes. The Draw market resolves Yes if the game ends in a draw, otherwise No. The Nantes market resolves Yes only if Nantes wins, otherwise No. The Strasbourg market resolves Yes only if Strasbourg wins, otherwise No. These are structured as true either/or propositions with explicit No conditions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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