TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. FC Machida Zelvia
Volume:
$257,617
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 29, 2026 between FC Mito Holly Hock and FC Machida Zelvia.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a cancellation clause that resolves YES if the game is canceled with no make-up, while Kalshi's market structure (three mutually exclusive outcomes tied to actual match results) does not address cancellation. This creates a settlement mismatch if cancellation occurs.Hero Tip:
Monitor JLeague official announcements (jleague.jp) for any postponement or cancellation. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw positions will resolve YES while Kalshi positions remain ambiguous. Consider the cancellation risk when sizing positions across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Machida Zelvia win (YES if Machida wins, NO otherwise), Mito Holly Hock win (YES if Mito wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). Crucially, the draw market includes: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve YES. Postponements keep markets open until completion.
- Kalshi: Single market with three mutually exclusive outcomes: Machida Z wins (YES), Tie (YES), or Mito H wins (YES). All three resolve YES only if that specific result occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard interpretation would void or resolve NO on cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.