TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC - Exact Score
Description
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between FC Midtjylland and Nottingham Forest FC, scheduled for March 19, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC match originally scheduled for March 19, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent and unresolvable. Kalshi resolves YES for every possible outcome (Nottingham win, Tie, or Midtjylland win), making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket correctly structures exact-score markets with mutually exclusive outcomes, where only one score resolves YES and all others resolve NO or to 'Any Other Score'. This fundamental logical contradiction makes Kalshi's market unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market for this event group. Kalshi's three YES-resolution conditions cover all possible match outcomes simultaneously, which violates basic market logic. Polymarket's exact-score structure is the only coherent resolution framework. If you hold Kalshi positions, expect either a market cancellation, emergency rule clarification, or forced resolution to 'No Contest'.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market resolves YES for all three possible outcomes—Nottingham win, Tie, or Midtjylland win—after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The three conditions state 'If Nottingham wins... then the market resolves to Yes', 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes', and 'If Midtjylland wins... then the market resolves to Yes', creating a logical impossibility where every outcome triggers YES. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design principles: Polymarket structures the market as 18 mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes (e.g., '2-1', '1-3', '0-0') plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all. Only one outcome can occur and resolve YES; all others resolve NO. The market explicitly states 'This market will resolve based on the final score... considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.' This is logically coherent and resolvable.
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