This event group covers the professional Danish Superliga soccer match between FC Midtjylland and Brøndby IF scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (Midtjylland win, Brøndby win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Cancellation scenario creates logical contradiction. Kalshi's rules state all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Midtjylland win, Brøndby win, tie) resolve to Yes if the game is canceled, which is logically impossible. Polymarket's cancellation logic is internally consistent but diverges from Kalshi.
Hero Tip:
If you hold positions across both platforms, monitor for cancellation risk closely. Request clarification from Kalshi on their cancellation rule before March 1, 2026. The Kalshi rule as written cannot be honored for all three markets simultaneously. Polymarket's approach (Midtjylland No, Brøndby No, Draw Yes) is more defensible but still unusual. Prefer Polymarket for cancellation protection.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Resolves all three markets (Midtjylland win, Brøndby win, tie) to Yes if the game is canceled entirely with no makeup. Quote: 'If Midtjylland wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Broendby wins... then the market resolves to Yes' — all three conditions cannot simultaneously be true in a cancellation scenario.
Polymarket: Resolves Midtjylland and Brøndby markets to No if canceled with no makeup; resolves Draw market to Yes. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for win markets) and 'this market will resolve to Yes' (for draw market). This is internally consistent but diverges from Kalshi.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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