TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Metz vs. FC Nantes - Halftime Result
Volume:
$2,347
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the FC Metz vs. FC Nantes Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for April 5, 2026. Three binary markets track whether Metz leads, Nantes leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Resolution depends on official halftime scoreline only.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket partitions the halftime result into three mutually exclusive binary markets, while Kalshi uses a single market that resolves Yes for any outcome. Both platforms agree on the underlying event (halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time) and resolution source (official statistics), but differ fundamentally in market structure and settlement logic.Hero Tip:
Recognize the structural difference: Polymarket requires you to pick one of three outcomes; Kalshi's market always settles Yes. If comparing prices, ensure you are comparing like-for-like (e.g., Polymarket's Nantes Yes vs. Kalshi's Nantes resolution path). Polymarket's three markets should be mutually exclusive; Kalshi's single market is not a true binary.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all possible halftime outcomes. Each market resolves Yes or No independently. Nantes leading Yes = Nantes score more; Metz leading Yes = Metz score more; Draw Yes = equal score. Exactly one of the three Yes outcomes will occur. Quote: 'If FC Nantes wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all resolving to Yes. Market resolves Yes if Nantes wins first half, Yes if tie occurs, or Yes if Metz wins first half. This market will always resolve Yes regardless of halftime outcome. Quote: 'If Nantes is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes. If Metz is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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