TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO
Volume:
$397,591
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Ligue 1 soccer match between FC Lorient and Angers SCO scheduled for February 15, 2026. Three related markets track the final outcome: whether Angers wins, whether Lorient wins, or whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and force majeure handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket explicitly maps cancellation to Yes for draw markets and No for win markets; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating ambiguity in edge-case resolution.Hero Tip:
Monitor official Ligue1.com and platform announcements closely. If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until completion. If canceled with no makeup, Polymarket draw resolves Yes while win markets resolve No; Kalshi's treatment is unspecified—contact support to confirm whether Kalshi treats cancellation as a void/no-resolution event or applies a default outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Angers win and Lorient win markets resolve No if game is canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled with no makeup. All three markets remain open if postponed. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve Yes' (draw market).
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets (Tie, Angers win, Lorient win), each resolving Yes if that outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implies all outcomes are equally resolvable but leaves force majeure handling undefined. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Angers wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Lorient wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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