Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical scope (90 minutes + stoppage time only), identical primary source (ligamx.net official score), and identical contingency rules (postponement, cancellation, and fallback to credible reporting).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Liga MX final score published on ligamx.net; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting sources
Core resolution logic:
Spread: Atlético San Luis (-2.5) resolves YES if San Luis wins by 3+ goals, otherwise NO
Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5) resolves YES if San Luis wins by 2+ goals, otherwise NO
Spread: FC Juárez (-2.5) resolves YES if Juárez wins by 3+ goals, otherwise NO
Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5) resolves YES if Juárez wins by 2+ goals, otherwise NO
Over/Under 1.5: Over if combined goals >= 2, Under if < 2
Over/Under 2.5: Over if combined goals >= 3, Under if < 3
Over/Under 3.5: Over if combined goals >= 4, Under if < 4
Over/Under 4.5: Over if combined goals >= 5, Under if < 5
Both Teams to Score: Yes if both teams score >= 1 goal each, No if either team scores 0
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: Markets remain open until the match is completed; no early resolution
Match Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets resolve 50-50
Match Started But Not Completed: Resolution uses the official final score from ligamx.net for the completed portion; scope is 90 minutes + stoppage time only
Official Score Delay: If ligamx.net does not publish final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting
Extra Time and Penalties Excluded: All markets resolve on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalty shootouts are not included
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes + stoppage time) and official Liga MX statistics are published on ligamx.net, or within 2 hours thereafter if credible reporting consensus is required
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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