TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC
Volume:
$3,924,425
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three interconnected prediction markets on the FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC Serie A match scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets ask whether Inter will win, Juventus will win, or the match will end in a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only, excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure treats all match outcomes as Yes-resolving events, suggesting these are outcome-tracking or settlement-value markets rather than binary predictions. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with asymmetric cancellation handling between win and draw markets.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, you can simultaneously hold Yes positions on all three markets (Inter win, Juventus win, draw) because they are independent binary predictions—exactly one will resolve Yes at match conclusion. On Kalshi, the market structure is unclear; treat these as informational/tracking markets pending clarification. For cancellation risk: Polymarket's draw market is the only one that resolves Yes; both win markets resolve No. This creates a hedging opportunity if cancellation is a material risk.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate markets, each stating that a specific match outcome (Inter win, Tie, or Juventus win) resolves to Yes. This creates a logical tautology: exactly one outcome must occur, so exactly one market must resolve Yes—but the phrasing suggests all three are Yes-resolving. These appear to be outcome-tracking or settlement-value markets rather than binary predictions. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets: Inter Win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), Juventus Win (Yes/No). At match conclusion, exactly one resolves Yes and two resolve No. On cancellation: Win markets resolve No, Draw market resolves Yes. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (Inter/Juventus) vs. 'this market will resolve Yes' (Draw).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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