TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles
Volume:
$140,811
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Eredivisie soccer match between FC Groningen and Go Ahead Eagles scheduled for April 11, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Groningen win, a Go Ahead Eagles win, or a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket employs three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation rules (Draw resolves Yes on cancellation; Win markets resolve No). Kalshi uses a unified three-outcome market with no explicit cancellation clause, creating potential settlement misalignment if the match is postponed or canceled.Hero Tip:
Monitor match status closely. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket's Draw market will resolve Yes while Win markets resolve No—a guaranteed loss for Win backers. Kalshi's silence on cancellation is a gap; request clarification from the platform. Consider hedging across platforms only after confirming Kalshi's cancellation protocol.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Groningen Win, Draw, Go Ahead Eagles Win). Cancellation without make-up: Draw resolves Yes, both Win markets resolve No. Resolution source: official Eredivisie statistics within 2 hours, or credible consensus if delayed. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Single unified three-outcome market (Groningen Win, Go Ahead Eagles Win, or Tie all resolve Yes). No explicit cancellation clause stated. Resolution scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excludes extra time and penalties. Implicit assumption: one outcome will occur and resolve Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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