TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Dallas vs. San Diego FC - More Markets
Volume:
$69,526
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers multiple spread and total markets for the FC Dallas vs. San Diego FC MLS match scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets include goal-spread bets (±1.5, ±2.5 goals), combined goal totals (Over/Under 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and a both-teams-to-score market, all resolving on the official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses strict greater-than (>) thresholds for goal spreads while Polymarket uses greater-than-or-equal (≥) thresholds, but because goal margins are always integers, the practical outcomes converge at all real-world boundary points.Hero Tip:
Both platforms will produce identical resolutions for all integer goal margins. The mathematical divergence is theoretical only. Focus on the official mlssoccer.com final score and confirm the exact goal differential at settlement. No trading edge exists from this divergence.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Spread markets use strict greater-than logic: Dallas wins by >1.5 goals (requires 2+) or >2.5 goals (requires 3+); San Diego wins by >1.5 goals (requires 2+) or >2.5 goals (requires 3+). All four Kalshi markets resolve Yes if the threshold is exceeded. Key Quote: 'If Dallas wins by more than 2.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Spread markets use greater-than-or-equal logic: Dallas wins by 2+ goals (≥2) or 3+ goals (≥3); San Diego wins by 2+ goals (≥2) or 3+ goals (≥3). Otherwise resolves to the opposing team. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to FC Dallas if FC Dallas win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to San Diego FC.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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