TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FC Dallas vs. Houston Dynamo
kalshi
polymarket

FC Dallas vs. Houston Dynamo

Volume:
$341,221

Dallas

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 22, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dallas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$135,966
N/A
N/A
$50,812
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Dallas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45,787
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Houston

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,483
N/A
N/A
$30,942
Settled
No
polymarket

Houston Dynamo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,450
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,539
N/A
N/A
$19,931
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC Dallas vs. Houston Dynamo)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,995
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

FC Dallas and Houston Dynamo will compete in an MLS regular season match on March 21, 2026. This event group captures three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Dallas victory, a Houston victory, or a draw. All markets measure the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market rules contain a logical contradiction: all three outcomes (Tie, Dallas win, Houston win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets (Dallas win, Draw, Houston win) with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's markets in this group — they are logically broken and cannot be settled. Trade only on Polymarket's three distinct markets (FC Dallas win, Draw, Houston win), which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: All three possible match outcomes (Tie, Dallas win, Houston win) are specified to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility where every outcome triggers a Yes resolution. The market states 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Dallas wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Houston wins... then the market resolves to Yes'.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes — FC Dallas win resolves Yes only if Dallas wins, Draw resolves Yes only if the match ends in a tie, and Houston win resolves Yes only if Houston wins. Each market has a single clear resolution path and a complementary No outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.