TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
FC Cincinnati vs. Toronto FC
kalshi
polymarket

FC Cincinnati vs. Toronto FC

Volume:
$605,200

Toronto

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 9, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toronto

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$59,708
N/A
N/A
$52,783
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Toronto FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cincinnati

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$277,398
N/A
N/A
$260,421
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Cincinnati

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$184,867
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,873
N/A
N/A
$23,444
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC Cincinnati vs. Toronto FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an MLS soccer match between FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets track whether Cincinnati wins, Toronto wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation logic creates a logical impossibility on Kalshi. If the match is canceled without a makeup game, Kalshi's rules state all three markets (Cincinnati win, Toronto win, and draw) resolve to Yes simultaneously, which violates the mutual exclusivity of match outcomes.Hero tip: If you hold positions on Kalshi, monitor cancellation risk closely. A full cancellation without makeup would trigger an illogical triple-Yes resolution. On Polymarket, cancellation is handled more cleanly: draw resolves Yes, team wins resolve No. For trading purposes, treat Kalshi's cancellation clause as a latent risk factor and price accordingly.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: All three markets (Cincinnati win, Toronto win, draw) resolve to Yes if the match is canceled without a makeup. This creates logical inconsistency since only one outcome can occur in a completed match. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' and same for both teams, with no explicit cancellation clause differentiating outcomes.
  • Polymarket: Draw market resolves Yes on cancellation; Cincinnati and Toronto win markets resolve No. This is logically consistent with the premise that no match occurred. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (for draw) and 'will resolve No' (for team wins).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.