TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Cajamarca vs. AD Tarma
Volume:
$27,958
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
FC Cajamarca will face AD Tarma in a Peruvian Primera División match scheduled for April 18, 2026. Three linked markets on Polymarket will resolve based on the final 90-minute result: Cajamarca win, draw, or Tarma win. Official statistics from liga1.pe (Peru's governing body) will serve as the primary resolution source, with credible reporting consensus as fallback if official data is delayed beyond 2 hours post-match.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Tarma win, Cajamarca win, Tie) resolve to YES simultaneously, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution (one outcome per market). This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical contradiction where every possible match outcome triggers YES resolution, making it impossible to determine a valid settlement. Stick to Polymarket for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Cajamarca win resolves YES only if Cajamarca wins, NO otherwise; (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise; (3) Tarma win resolves YES only if Tarma wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market resolves YES per match outcome. Resolution source: official Liga 1.pe statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Cancellation with no makeup resolves draw market to YES, others to NO.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Tarma wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cajamarca wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility: every possible match outcome triggers YES resolution simultaneously. No resolution source, timing, or cancellation clause is specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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