TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Anadolu Efes
Volume:
$173,353
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single Euroleague basketball game between FC Bayern Munich and Anadolu Efes scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. The markets on Kalshi and Polymarket both resolve based on the final outcome of this professional basketball matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Bayern win and Anadolu Efes win) resolve to the same value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and meaningless. Polymarket provides coherent binary resolution.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. Do not trade the Kalshi version. Use Polymarket exclusively, which has clear mutually exclusive outcomes and explicit edge case handling for postponements and cancellations.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both Bayern Munich victory and Anadolu Efes victory are stated to resolve to Yes. This is logically contradictory and makes the market unresolvable. Quote: If Bayern Munich wins then resolves to Yes; If Anadolu Efes wins then resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: Clear binary resolution: Bayern Munich win resolves to FC Bayern Munchen, Anadolu Efes win resolves to Anadolu Efes. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Quote: If Bayern Munchen win, resolve to FC Bayern Munchen; If Anadolu Efes win, resolve to Anadolu Efes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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