Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: the market resolves based on the official match outcome (Bayern win, Stuttgart win, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 19, 2026, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Bayern Munich win market resolves YES if Bayern Munich wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
Stuttgart win market resolves YES if VfB Stuttgart wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
Draw market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
Exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES (mutually exclusive outcomes).
Extra time and penalties are excluded from resolution scope.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Bayern and Stuttgart win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the actual match outcome.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, the Bayern and Stuttgart win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official Bundesliga/governing body statistics. If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus is used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by Bundesliga or the governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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