TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FC Bayern München vs. FC Barcelona
kalshi
polymarket

FC Bayern München vs. FC Barcelona

Volume:
$261,124

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 26, 2026

Closed: Apr 25, 3:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42,921
N/A
N/A
$27,344
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (FC Bayern München vs. FC Barcelona)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,554
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bayern

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118,648
N/A
N/A
$74,842
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Bayern München

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,513
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Barcelona

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,174
N/A
N/A
$57,029
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Barcelona

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's Champions League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between FC Bayern München and FC Barcelona.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Bayern win, Draw, Barcelona win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines a single market where ALL three outcomes resolve to YES simultaneously. This creates a logical contradiction: Kalshi's market cannot resolve to a single definitive outcome.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's market entirely—it is logically unresolvable. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES; treat them as a complete outcome partition. If you trade Kalshi, you face undefined settlement risk because the platform's logic permits all three outcomes to resolve YES at once, violating basic match semantics.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each mutually exclusive. Bayern win resolves YES only if Bayern wins; Draw resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw; Barcelona win resolves YES only if Barcelona wins. Exactly one market resolves YES. Quote: 'If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' Applied identically to all three outcomes.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three outcome branches, all resolving to YES. The market states: 'If Barcelona wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Bayern wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of the actual match result, making it logically incoherent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.