TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Bayern München vs. FC Barcelona
Volume:
$261,124
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's Champions League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between FC Bayern München and FC Barcelona.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Bayern win, Draw, Barcelona win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines a single market where ALL three outcomes resolve to YES simultaneously. This creates a logical contradiction: Kalshi's market cannot resolve to a single definitive outcome.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's market entirely—it is logically unresolvable. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES; treat them as a complete outcome partition. If you trade Kalshi, you face undefined settlement risk because the platform's logic permits all three outcomes to resolve YES at once, violating basic match semantics.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each mutually exclusive. Bayern win resolves YES only if Bayern wins; Draw resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw; Barcelona win resolves YES only if Barcelona wins. Exactly one market resolves YES. Quote: 'If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' Applied identically to all three outcomes.
- Kalshi: Single market with three outcome branches, all resolving to YES. The market states: 'If Barcelona wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Bayern wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of the actual match result, making it logically incoherent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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