TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$36,029
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC Champions League match scheduled for March 18, 2026. Markets track whether Bayern leads, Atalanta leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory, resolving to Yes for all possible halftime outcomes. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution criteria. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The market cannot distinguish between outcomes since all three possibilities (Bayern win, Atalanta win, Draw) are coded to resolve Yes. Use Polymarket's three binary markets instead, which properly separate the outcomes. Contact Kalshi to clarify if this is a documentation error before any settlement occurs.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Single market with three conditions all resolving to Yes. Quote: 'If Atalanta is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie... then the market resolves to Yes. If Bayern Munich is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates logical impossibility - every outcome triggers Yes, making the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Bayern leading at halftime resolves Yes only if Bayern wins first half; Draw at halftime resolves Yes only if tied; Atalanta leading at halftime resolves Yes only if Atalanta wins first half. Otherwise each resolves No. Clear, resolvable structure with official statistics as primary source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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