TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin - More Markets
polymarket
kalshi

FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin - More Markets

Volume:
$717,865

O/U 3.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 3.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 10:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$186,989
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$133,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$108,431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Bayern München (-1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51,998
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bayern Munich wins by over 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,952
N/A
N/A
$16,085
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Bayern München (-2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46,747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bayern Munich wins by over 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,333
N/A
N/A
$18,504
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,442
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Union Berlin wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$719
N/A
N/A
$671
Settled
No
polymarket

1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,686
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Union Berlin wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
$353
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for March 21 at 10:30 AM ET.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on market scope and resolution logic. Polymarket offers spread markets with specific goal-differential thresholds (Bayern -2.5, -1.5; Union -2.5, -1.5) and total-goals markets (O/U 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), while Kalshi offers only four binary markets that resolve YES if either team wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, creating fundamentally different settlement outcomes for identical match scenarios.Hero tip: If you trade these markets across platforms, note that Polymarket's spread markets are directional (Bayern wins by 3+ resolves YES for Bayern -2.5), while Kalshi's markets are bidirectional (either team winning by 2.5+ resolves YES). A Bayern 3-0 win resolves YES on Polymarket's Bayern -2.5 spread but also YES on Kalshi's 2.5-goal market. Conversely, Polymarket's O/U markets have no direct Kalshi equivalent, so those outcomes cannot be cross-verified.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket offers eight distinct markets covering directional spreads (Bayern -2.5, -1.5; Union -2.5, -1.5), total goals (O/U 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and both-teams-to-score. Each market has independent binary outcomes tied to specific goal thresholds. For example, 'Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)' resolves YES if Bayern wins by 3+ goals, otherwise NO. This granular market structure allows traders to isolate specific outcome ranges.
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers four binary markets, each resolving YES if either team wins by a specified margin (1.5 or 2.5 goals). Markets 1 and 2 resolve YES if Union wins by 2.5+ OR Bayern wins by 2.5+. Markets 3 and 4 resolve YES if Union wins by 1.5+ OR Bayern wins by 1.5+. This bidirectional structure collapses directional information into single YES/NO outcomes, fundamentally different from Polymarket's directional spreads.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.