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399,592

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30,097

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2,622

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5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - More Markets
kalshi
polymarket

FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - More Markets

Volume:
$166,709

Barcelona wins by over 1.5 goals

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 22, 1:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Barcelona wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118,055
N/A
N/A
$104,586
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Barcelona (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Barcelona wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,799
N/A
N/A
$36,712
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Barcelona (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vallecano wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,591
N/A
N/A
$2,658
Settled
No
polymarket

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vallecano wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,264
N/A
N/A
$1,878
Settled
No
polymarket

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for March 22 at 9:00 AM ET.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use different threshold interpretations for spread markets. Kalshi resolves on 'more than' thresholds (>1.5, >2.5 goals), while Polymarket resolves on 'by X or more goals' thresholds (≥2, ≥3 goals), creating a one-goal discrepancy at key boundaries.Hero tip: If you bet on a spread market and the final margin is exactly 2 or 2.5 goals, your outcome may differ between platforms. For example, a 2-goal Barcelona win resolves YES on Polymarket's -1.5 spread but NO on Kalshi's >1.5 threshold. Verify which platform you are trading on before placing bets near these boundaries.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi uses strict 'more than' thresholds (>1.5 and >2.5 goals) for all four spread markets, meaning a 2-goal win does not satisfy the >1.5 condition and a 3-goal win does not satisfy the >2.5 condition. Key quote: 'If Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals' and 'If Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals'.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting convention: Polymarket uses 'by X or more goals' thresholds (≥2 for -1.5 spread, ≥3 for -2.5 spread), meaning a 2-goal Barcelona win satisfies the -1.5 condition. Key quote: 'FC Barcelona win the game by 2 or more goals' for the -1.5 spread and 'FC Barcelona win the game by 3 or more goals' for the -2.5 spread.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.