TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid
Volume:
$9,734,610
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 8, 2026 between FC Barcelona and Club Atlético de Madrid.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Barcelona win, Atlético win, draw), each resolving independently to YES or NO. Kalshi defines a single market that resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Barcelona win, Atlético win, or draw), making it logically impossible to resolve to NO under any realistic match scenario.Hero Tip:
Do not trade these markets as equivalent. Polymarket offers three separate binary bets where exactly one will resolve YES and two will resolve NO. Kalshi's market will almost certainly resolve YES regardless of the match result, making it fundamentally different in risk/reward profile. Avoid arbitrage assumptions between platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket creates three separate binary markets covering all possible outcomes (Barcelona win, Atlético win, draw). Each market resolves YES or NO independently based on the actual match result. Only one of the three will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO. Key quote: 'If FC Barcelona wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (and identical logic for Atlético and draw markets).
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines a single market with three resolution conditions all mapped to YES: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Barcelona wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Atletico wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This structure provides no NO resolution path for any realistic match outcome, creating a market that is logically equivalent to a guaranteed YES payout.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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