TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart - Halftime Result
Volume:
$4,408
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga match scheduled for March 22, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Augsburg leading at halftime, a draw at halftime, or Stuttgart leading at halftime. Resolution depends on the official score after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure contains a logical contradiction where all three possible halftime outcomes (Augsburg win, draw, Stuttgart win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and uninformative. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with three separate markets for each outcome.Hero Tip:
The Kalshi market as described is broken and will always resolve to Yes. This is a data integrity failure. Only trade Polymarket's three binary markets, which correctly map each halftime outcome to distinct Yes/No resolutions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure maps all three possible halftime outcomes to Yes resolution. Regardless of whether Augsburg leads, there is a draw, or Stuttgart leads, the market resolves to Yes. This creates a tautology with no informational value.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Augsburg leading at halftime is one Yes/No market, draw at halftime is a separate Yes/No market, and Stuttgart leading is a third Yes/No market. Only one can resolve Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.