Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: the match outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 19, 2026, with the same primary resolution source (official governing body statistics) and identical cancellation/postponement rules.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from La Liga 2 governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the final match result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
FC Andorra win market resolves YES if FC Andorra wins; NO otherwise.
Real Valladolid CF win market resolves YES if Real Valladolid CF wins; NO otherwise.
Draw market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw; NO otherwise.
Exactly one of the three outcome markets will resolve YES.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until completion.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the win markets (Andorra and Valladolid) resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs only after the postponed match concludes.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, both win markets resolve NO and the draw market resolves YES.
Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official La Liga 2 governing body statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources is used instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a 2-hour window for official statistics publication before alternative credible reporting sources are consulted.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.