TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Alverca vs. FC Arouca
Volume:
$190,278
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Friday, April 24, 2026 between FC Alverca and FC Arouca.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: each market resolves YES if its specified outcome occurs (Alverca win, Arouca win, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 24, 2026, with consistent postponement and cancellation rules across platforms.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from Liga Portugal (the governing body for Portuguese professional soccer) as recognized by the event organizers, with fallback to consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Exactly one of the three mutually exclusive outcomes will resolve YES: FC Alverca wins, FC Arouca wins, or the match ends in a draw.
- Resolution is based solely on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket markets for Alverca and Arouca wins resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES; Kalshi markets all resolve YES (as any outcome is technically satisfied by cancellation).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Cancellation: Polymarket and Kalshi handle cancellation differently: Polymarket resolves Alverca/Arouca win markets to NO and draw market to YES; Kalshi resolves all three outcome markets to YES. This creates a logical divergence in the cancellation scenario.
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open until the match is completed and a result is determined.
- Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official Liga Portugal statistics; if not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result by Liga Portugal within 2 hours of match conclusion, or upon consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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