TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FBC Melgar vs. Club Universitario de Deportes
Volume:
$33,540
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
FBC Melgar and Club Universitario de Deportes will compete in a Peru Liga 1 professional soccer match scheduled for April 19, 2026. The market outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard three-way outcome event (Melgar win, Draw, Universitario win) with standard postponement and cancellation protocols.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three possible match outcomes (Melgar win, Universitario win, Draw) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and contradicting standard binary market logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical impossibility—every possible outcome cannot simultaneously resolve YES. Polymarket offers three separate, mutually exclusive binary markets that properly cover all outcomes. Trade Polymarket instead for clear settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each mutually exclusive: Melgar Win (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO), Universitario Win (YES/NO). Exactly one resolves YES based on the 90-minute match result. Primary source is official Liga 1 Peru statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Universitario wins... resolves YES. If Tie wins... resolves YES. If Melgar wins... resolves YES.' This creates a logical contradiction where every possible outcome triggers YES, violating binary market semantics. No mechanism exists to resolve NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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