TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FBC Melgar vs. Club Universitario de Deportes
kalshi
polymarket

FBC Melgar vs. Club Universitario de Deportes

Volume:
$33,540

Melgar

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 20, 2026

Closed: Apr 19, 9:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Melgar

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,931
N/A
N/A
$7,681
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FBC Melgar

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,643
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Universitario

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,341
N/A
N/A
$9,157
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Universitario de Deportes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,732
N/A
N/A
$2,287
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FBC Melgar vs. Club Universitario de Deportes)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

FBC Melgar and Club Universitario de Deportes will compete in a Peru Liga 1 professional soccer match scheduled for April 19, 2026. The market outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard three-way outcome event (Melgar win, Draw, Universitario win) with standard postponement and cancellation protocols.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three possible match outcomes (Melgar win, Universitario win, Draw) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and contradicting standard binary market logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical impossibility—every possible outcome cannot simultaneously resolve YES. Polymarket offers three separate, mutually exclusive binary markets that properly cover all outcomes. Trade Polymarket instead for clear settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each mutually exclusive: Melgar Win (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO), Universitario Win (YES/NO). Exactly one resolves YES based on the 90-minute match result. Primary source is official Liga 1 Peru statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Universitario wins... resolves YES. If Tie wins... resolves YES. If Melgar wins... resolves YES.' This creates a logical contradiction where every possible outcome triggers YES, violating binary market semantics. No mechanism exists to resolve NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.