TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Falkirk FC vs. Dundee United FC
Volume:
$80,923
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Scottish Premiership soccer match between Falkirk FC and Dundee United FC scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final outcome (win/loss/draw) measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents three mutually exclusive outcomes as independent Yes/No markets that all resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Polymarket correctly structures the same three outcomes as separate binary markets where only one resolves Yes.Hero Tip:
Do not treat Kalshi's three markets as independent bets. Recognize that only one can win. On Polymarket, understand that buying Yes on Draw means buying No on both Falkirk Win and Dundee United Win simultaneously. The platforms are mathematically incompatible in structure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Tie, Falkirk win, Dundee United win) resolve to Yes if their condition is met. This creates a logical flaw: exactly one outcome occurs, but the market structure implies all three could resolve Yes. Quote: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Falkirk wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Dundee United wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets where exactly one resolves Yes and two resolve No. Draw market: Yes if draw, No otherwise. Falkirk Win market: Yes if Falkirk wins, No otherwise. Dundee United Win market: Yes if Dundee United wins, No otherwise. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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