This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Fairfield Stags and Siena Saints scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both Fairfield win and Siena win are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid path to a No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as structured.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform clarifies the complete resolution matrix. Polymarket is the safer choice due to its explicit binary structure and clear edge-case handling.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear resolution paths: Fairfield Stags win resolves to Fairfield Stags, Siena Saints win resolves to Siena Saints. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi: Stated as Yes/No structure but both possible game outcomes (Fairfield win and Siena win) are mapped to Yes resolution. No resolution path to No is defined. Key Quote: If Fairfield wins...resolves to Yes. If Siena wins...resolves to Yes. [No statement on what resolves to No]
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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