A men's college basketball game between Fairfield Stags and Saint Peter's Peacocks scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-3.5, -4.5), and over/under totals at multiple levels (141.5, 142.5, 143.5).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Fairfield win and Saint Peter's win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. Rely exclusively on Polymarket markets for this event group. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) use consistent final-score-based settlement logic with clear 50-50 cancellation provisions.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market maps both possible outcomes to Yes resolution. Quote: If Fairfield wins the game, resolves to Yes. If Saint Peter's wins the game, also resolves to Yes. This leaves no valid No resolution path and makes the market logically impossible to settle correctly.
Polymarket: Moneyline market uses standard binary logic: Fairfield win resolves to Fairfield Stags, Saint Peter's win resolves to Saint Peter's Peacocks. Spread markets (-3.5, -4.5) and total markets (141.5, 142.5, 143.5) all use final score including overtime, with 50-50 cancellation if game is canceled with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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