TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Eyüpspor vs. Trabzonspor
Volume:
$667,738
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 18, 2026 between Eyüpspor and Trabzonspor.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Eyupspor win, Tie, Trabzonspor win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes, which is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal logical flaw where every possible match outcome triggers a Yes resolution, making it impossible to determine a true settlement value. Polymarket's three-market structure is the only reliable way to express the full outcome space.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Uses three separate binary markets (Eyupspor win, Draw, Trabzonspor win) where exactly one resolves Yes based on the 90-minute match result. Key quote: 'If Eyupspor wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (and similar logic for the other two markets).
- Kalshi: Outlier: Defines a single market where all three possible outcomes (Eyupspor win, Tie, Trabzonspor win) each trigger a Yes resolution, creating a logical contradiction. Key quote: 'If Eyupspor wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Trabzonspor wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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