TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC
kalshi
polymarket

Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC

Volume:
$9,787,754

Manchester United

 - Kalshi

Manchester United - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 24, 2026

Closed: Feb 23, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manchester United

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,487,254
N/A
N/A
$2,300,955
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Everton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$596,335
N/A
N/A
$357,889
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$570,310
N/A
N/A
$347,170
Settled
No
polymarket

Manchester United FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,465,585
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Everton FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,235,121
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$433,149
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three related prediction markets on the Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC professional EPL soccer match scheduled for February 23, 2026. Markets track whether Everton wins, Manchester United wins, or the match ends in a draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket applies asymmetric cancellation resolution (Draw resolves Yes, Wins resolve No if game canceled with no make-up), while Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause. This creates different payoff profiles in low-probability cancellation scenarios.Hero tip: Monitor for cancellation risk. Polymarket Draw market acts as a cancellation hedge (resolves Yes if game canceled), while Polymarket Win markets and all Kalshi markets do not. If you believe cancellation is unlikely, this divergence is immaterial; if cancellation risk is material, Polymarket Draw offers asymmetric protection.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Manchester United Win (Yes/No), Everton Win (Yes/No), and Draw (Yes/No). All three reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation clause: Win markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up; Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up. Postponement keeps market open. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [No for wins / Yes for draw].'
  • Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcomes (Everton Win, Manchester United Win, Draw/Tie) each resolve to Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Everton vs Manchester United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.