TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC
Volume:
$9,787,754
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three related prediction markets on the Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC professional EPL soccer match scheduled for February 23, 2026. Markets track whether Everton wins, Manchester United wins, or the match ends in a draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket applies asymmetric cancellation resolution (Draw resolves Yes, Wins resolve No if game canceled with no make-up), while Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause. This creates different payoff profiles in low-probability cancellation scenarios.Hero Tip:
Monitor for cancellation risk. Polymarket Draw market acts as a cancellation hedge (resolves Yes if game canceled), while Polymarket Win markets and all Kalshi markets do not. If you believe cancellation is unlikely, this divergence is immaterial; if cancellation risk is material, Polymarket Draw offers asymmetric protection.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Manchester United Win (Yes/No), Everton Win (Yes/No), and Draw (Yes/No). All three reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation clause: Win markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up; Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up. Postponement keeps market open. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [No for wins / Yes for draw].'
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcomes (Everton Win, Manchester United Win, Draw/Tie) each resolve to Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Everton vs Manchester United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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