TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Evansville Aces vs. UIC Flames (W)
Volume:
$15,559
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Evansville Aces and UIC Flames scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Evansville win or UIC win) are specified to resolve to Yes, with no defined No condition. This makes the market mathematically unresolvable and creates data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the market specification is corrected by the platform. The Polymarket version is the only logically valid market for this event. A corrected Kalshi market should specify one outcome resolves Yes and the other resolves No, mirroring Polymarket's binary structure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary structure with mutually exclusive outcomes. Evansville win resolves to Evansville Aces, UIC win resolves to UIC Flames. Includes edge case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Specification error: both outcomes map to Yes. States If Evansville wins then Yes, and If UIC wins then Yes. No condition for No resolution is defined. This creates a tautology where the market cannot differentiate between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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