TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Evansville Aces vs. Northern Iowa Panthers
Volume:
$219,839
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Evansville Aces and Northern Iowa Panthers scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Evansville win and Northern Iowa win) resolve to Yes, rendering the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically coherent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi moneyline entirely due to logical failure. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) use consistent, resolvable logic: final score including overtime determines outcome; postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline markets state: 'If Evansville wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Northern Iowa wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical tautology — both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes. Market is unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Evansville Aces' if Evansville wins, or 'Northern Iowa Panthers' if Northern Iowa wins. Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (14+, 15+, or 16+ point wins). Totals resolve based on combined score thresholds (125+, 126+, 127+, or 128+ points). All markets: postponement = market remains open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split. Final score includes overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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