TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Evansville Aces vs. Murray State Racers (W)
Volume:
$27,426
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Evansville Aces and Murray State Racers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final outcome of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both a Murray State win and an Evansville win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market in its current form. The resolution criteria are internally contradictory and cannot be settled. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable version. Request clarification from Kalshi before engaging.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Evansville victory resolves to Evansville Aces; Murray State victory resolves to Murray State Racers. Includes standard edge cases: postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50, overtime included in final score.
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic. States both outcomes (Murray St. wins OR Evansville wins) resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No clear No resolution condition is defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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