TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Evansville Aces vs. Murray State Racers
Volume:
$271,235
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Evansville Aces and Murray State Racers scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (Murray State -14.5), and multiple over/under totals (153.5, 154.5, 155.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Evansville win and Murray State win) are stated to resolve to 'Yes', making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on the Kalshi market until the resolution criteria are corrected. The market as currently written cannot produce a meaningful outcome. Focus on Polymarket markets, which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths for moneyline, spread, and totals.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Five distinct markets with clear, mutually exclusive outcomes. Moneyline resolves to 'Evansville Aces' or 'Murray State Racers'. Three totals markets (O/U 153.5, 154.5, 155.5) resolve to Over or Under based on combined points. Spread resolves to 'Murray State Racers' (if win by 15+) or 'Evansville Aces' (otherwise). All include 50-50 split for cancellation with no makeup. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Single market with contradictory logic: 'If Evansville wins...resolves to Yes. If Murray St. wins...resolves to Yes.' Both possible outcomes map to the same resolution value, creating logical impossibility. No cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: Both win conditions resolve to 'Yes', violating binary market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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