TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Talleres
Volume:
$167,577
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between Estudiantes de La Plata and CA Talleres.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. It requires the market to resolve YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Talleres win, Estudiantes win, or Tie), which is impossible. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market entirely—it cannot resolve properly. Trade only on Polymarket, where the three binary markets (Estudiantes win, Draw, Talleres win) are logically sound and mutually exclusive. Exactly one will resolve YES.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive logic: Market 1 resolves YES only if Estudiantes wins; Market 2 resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw; Market 3 resolves YES only if Talleres wins. Exactly one market will resolve YES. All reference official AFA statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible consensus if unavailable. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation resolves NO (or YES for draw market only).
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions stated as: 'If Talleres wins, resolve YES. If Estudiantes wins, resolve YES. If Tie wins, resolve YES.' This creates a logical impossibility—the market is programmed to resolve YES regardless of the match outcome, making it unresolvable and unhedgeable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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