TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Talleres
polymarket
kalshi

Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Talleres

Volume:
$167,577

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 26, 2026

Closed: Apr 25, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,580
N/A
N/A
$25,372
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Talleres)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,386
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Estudiantes La Plata

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,847
N/A
N/A
$42,518
Settled
No
polymarket

Estudiantes de La Plata

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Talleres Cordoba

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,303
N/A
N/A
$17,632
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Talleres

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,260
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between Estudiantes de La Plata and CA Talleres.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. It requires the market to resolve YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Talleres win, Estudiantes win, or Tie), which is impossible. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi market entirely—it cannot resolve properly. Trade only on Polymarket, where the three binary markets (Estudiantes win, Draw, Talleres win) are logically sound and mutually exclusive. Exactly one will resolve YES.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive logic: Market 1 resolves YES only if Estudiantes wins; Market 2 resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw; Market 3 resolves YES only if Talleres wins. Exactly one market will resolve YES. All reference official AFA statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible consensus if unavailable. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation resolves NO (or YES for draw market only).
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions stated as: 'If Talleres wins, resolve YES. If Estudiantes wins, resolve YES. If Tie wins, resolve YES.' This creates a logical impossibility—the market is programmed to resolve YES regardless of the match outcome, making it unresolvable and unhedgeable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.