Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 27, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official FIFA statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the match outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
If England wins, the England win market resolves YES and the Uruguay win and draw markets resolve NO.
If Uruguay wins, the Uruguay win market resolves YES and the England win and draw markets resolve NO.
If the match ends in a draw, the draw market resolves YES and the England win and Uruguay win markets resolve NO.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the England win and Uruguay win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs based on the outcome of the completed match.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, England win and Uruguay win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Late Official Statistics: If official FIFA statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may be based on consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official match completion and publication of final statistics by FIFA or the governing body, or upon consensus credible reporting if official statistics are delayed beyond 2 hours post-match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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