TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
England vs. Ghana
Total volume:
$11,616
Volume 24h:
$164
76%
Liquidity:
$21,588
0.46%
Open interest:
$4,648
2%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the FIFA World Cup match between England and Ghana scheduled for June 23, 2026. Markets across four platforms (Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket, Predict) are betting on the final outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time: England win, Ghana win, or Draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's Draw market uniquely resolves YES on full game cancellation with no make-up, while England/Ghana win markets and all competing platforms resolve NO or do not specify this scenario. This creates a logical asymmetry in the outcome space.Hero Tip:
Monitor official FIFA communications for any cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no rescheduling, Polymarket Draw resolves YES while Polymarket England and Ghana markets resolve NO—creating a guaranteed arbitrage. For all other platforms, cancellation typically results in NO or market suspension pending rescheduling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket (Draw): Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".' This is the only platform/market with this rule.
- Polymarket (England & Ghana), Kalshi, Limitless, Predict: All other markets resolve NO on cancellation or require postponement handling until completion. Kalshi states all three outcomes (Tie, Ghana, England) resolve YES only if the match is completed. Limitless and Predict specify NO resolution if match is not completed with official result by deadline.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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