TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
England vs. Croatia
Total volume:
$23,657
Volume 24h:
$254
66%
Liquidity:
$19,295
0.8%
Open interest:
$12,506
1%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, June 17, 2026 between England and Croatia.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and non-completion handling differs across platforms, particularly for Draw outcomes. Limitless and Polymarket/Predict diverge on whether a canceled match with no make-up resolves Draw to YES or NO, and Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause.Hero Tip:
Traders holding Draw positions on Polymarket or Predict face YES resolution if the match is canceled with no make-up, while Limitless Draw traders face NO. Win market traders are more protected (all resolve NO on cancellation), but Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation language creates ambiguity. Hedge accordingly or seek Kalshi clarification before June 17, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
- Limitless: Draw market resolves YES if match not completed by July 17, 2026, 20:00 UTC deadline. Win markets (England/Croatia) resolve NO if match not completed. Quote: 'If the club does not win or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 17, 2026, 20:00 UTC, the market will resolve to NO.'
- Polymarket: Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Win markets (England/Croatia) resolve NO if canceled. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw); 'this market will resolve No' (Win markets).
- Predict: Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up. Win markets resolve NO if canceled. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw); 'this market will resolve to No' (Win markets).
- Kalshi: All three outcomes (Tie, England, Croatia) resolve YES only if the specified outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or non-completion clause provided. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If England wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Croatia wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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