TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Empoli FC vs. AC Reggiana 1919
Volume:
$120,939
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Empoli FC and AC Reggiana 1919 scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Empoli win, Reggiana win, or draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket applies asymmetric resolution (draw Yes on cancellation, wins No on cancellation), while Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating ambiguity in edge case outcomes.Hero Tip:
Track cancellation risk closely. If the match is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while its win markets resolve No, but Kalshi's behavior is undefined. This creates a potential arbitrage or hedge opportunity depending on cancellation probability.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Empoli win and Reggiana win markets resolve No if canceled. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled. Postponement keeps markets open. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (wins) vs. 'Yes' (draw).
- Kalshi: Three markets presented as exhaustive outcomes (tie, Reggiana win, Empoli win), all resolving Yes if their outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Ambiguity exists on how cancellation would be handled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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