TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribe
Volume:
$87,375
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Elon Phoenix and William & Mary Tribe scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds, and over/under total points, with listings on both Kalshi and Polymarket.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents 22 redundant binary point-spread markets with overlapping thresholds, while Polymarket uses standard categorical spread and total markets. The platforms' resolution mechanics and edge-case handling differ significantly.Hero Tip:
On Kalshi, confirm you are trading the exact threshold market you intend (e.g., +2.5 vs. +5.5 for Elon). On Polymarket, use the -4.5, -5.5, -6.5 spread markets for directional bets and the 163.5/164.5 totals for scoring volume. If the game is canceled, Polymarket resolves 50-50; Kalshi's cancellation rule is unstated—contact support before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 22 binary Yes/No markets, each tied to a specific point-differential threshold (Elon or William & Mary wins by >X points). No explicit cancellation or postponement logic; no moneyline or total-points markets. Example: 'If Elon wins by more than 2.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes.' Resolves Yes only if that exact condition is met; otherwise No.
- Polymarket: Four distinct market types: (1) Moneyline (categorical: Elon Phoenix / William & Mary Tribe), (2) Three spread markets at -4.5, -5.5, -6.5 (William & Mary favored; categorical outcomes), (3) Two over/under markets at 163.5 and 164.5 total points. Explicit rule: if game is canceled with no make-up, all markets resolve 50-50. Postponement keeps markets open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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