TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribe
kalshi
polymarket

Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribe

Volume:
$1,300,129

Elon

 - Kalshi

Elon - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Elon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$856,301
$627,593
N/A
N/A
$338,094
Settled
Yes
kalshi

William & Mary

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$857,627
$605,902
N/A
N/A
$392,214
Settled
No
polymarket

Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribe

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63,524
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -8.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,335
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -7.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$420
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 165.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$356
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Elon Phoenix and William & Mary Tribe scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), over/under total points at 165.5, and point spreads at -7.5 and -8.5 for William & Mary.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Elon win and William & Mary win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound with proper binary or ternary outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market until the specification is corrected. Focus trading activity on Polymarket moneyline, totals, and spread markets, which all have clear, unambiguous resolution logic tied to final game score including overtime periods.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market has contradictory resolution: both 'Elon wins' and 'William & Mary wins' resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No outcome. Quote: 'If Elon wins...then resolves to Yes' and separately 'If William & Mary wins...then resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market has proper binary resolution: Elon win resolves to 'Elon Phoenix', William & Mary win resolves to 'William & Mary Tribe'. Totals and spreads also have clear thresholds. Quote: 'If the Elon Phoenix win, the market will resolve to Elon Phoenix. If the William & Mary Tribe win, the market will resolve to William & Mary Tribe.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.