TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribe
Volume:
$1,300,129
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Elon Phoenix and William & Mary Tribe scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), over/under total points at 165.5, and point spreads at -7.5 and -8.5 for William & Mary.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Elon win and William & Mary win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound with proper binary or ternary outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market until the specification is corrected. Focus trading activity on Polymarket moneyline, totals, and spread markets, which all have clear, unambiguous resolution logic tied to final game score including overtime periods.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market has contradictory resolution: both 'Elon wins' and 'William & Mary wins' resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No outcome. Quote: 'If Elon wins...then resolves to Yes' and separately 'If William & Mary wins...then resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market has proper binary resolution: Elon win resolves to 'Elon Phoenix', William & Mary win resolves to 'William & Mary Tribe'. Totals and spreads also have clear thresholds. Quote: 'If the Elon Phoenix win, the market will resolve to Elon Phoenix. If the William & Mary Tribe win, the market will resolve to William & Mary Tribe.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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