TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Elon Phoenix vs. Monmouth Hawks
Volume:
$132,195
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Elon Phoenix and Monmouth Hawks scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, the spread outcome (Monmouth -3.5), and the combined point total (O/U 153.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Monmouth win OR Elon win) trigger a Yes resolution, making the market unable to differentiate between outcomes. This is a data integrity failure that renders the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until it is corrected or clarified by the platform. The Polymarket suite (moneyline, spread, over/under) is logically sound and provides clear settlement paths. If you hold Kalshi exposure, request market clarification or consider it a potential void/cancel scenario.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate, well-defined markets: (1) Moneyline resolves to winner name; (2) Spread resolves to Monmouth if they win by 4+, else Elon; (3) Over/Under resolves based on combined score vs 153.5 threshold. All use final score including overtime. Cancellation without makeup = 50-50 split. Key quote: 'If the Elon Phoenix win, the market will resolve to Elon Phoenix. If the Monmouth Hawks win, the market will resolve to Monmouth Hawks.'
- Kalshi: Single market states: 'If Monmouth wins...then resolves to Yes. If Elon wins...then resolves to Yes.' This creates a tautology where any game outcome produces Yes, leaving no path to No resolution. Key quote: 'If Monmouth wins the Elon at Monmouth men's college basketball game...then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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