TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
ELH: Trinec vs. Dynamo Pardubice
Description
In the upcoming ELH game, scheduled for April 22 at 12:00PM ET: If Trinec win, the market will resolve to "Trinec". If Dynamo Pardubice win, the market will resolve to "Dynamo Pardubice". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves YES if either team wins, making all outcomes resolve to YES and rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to one of two outcomes (Trinec or Dynamo Pardubice) based on the winner.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—it will resolve YES regardless of which team wins, making it impossible to construct a meaningful hedge or directional bet. Polymarket is the only tradeable market in this group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Market resolves to either 'Trinec' or 'Dynamo Pardubice' based on final score including overtime and shootouts. Clear binary outcome: one team wins, one loses. Quote: 'If Trinec win, the market will resolve to Trinec. If Dynamo Pardubice win, the market will resolve to Dynamo Pardubice.'
- Kalshi: Market resolves YES if HC Pardubice wins OR if HC Ocelari Trinec wins—meaning both possible outcomes trigger YES resolution. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot resolve NO under any game outcome. Quote: 'If HC Pardubice wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If HC Ocelari Trinec wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
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