TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca
Volume:
$1,100,681
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Elche CF and RCD Mallorca.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi differ in their treatment of game cancellation. Polymarket resolves canceled matches to NO for win markets and YES for draw markets, while Kalshi's markets resolve to YES for all outcomes (tie, Mallorca win, or Elche win), making cancellation resolution contradictory on Kalshi.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, be aware that a game cancellation creates an ambiguous resolution: Kalshi's three markets (Tie, Mallorca win, Elche win) would all technically resolve YES simultaneously, which is logically impossible for mutually exclusive outcomes. Polymarket's approach is clearer: cancellation resolves win markets to NO and the draw market to YES. Verify Kalshi's actual cancellation protocol before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard match-outcome logic: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Elche win, Draw, Mallorca win) that resolve based on the final 90-minute result. For cancellation with no makeup game, win markets resolve NO and the draw market resolves YES. Primary source is official La Liga statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus thereafter. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) and 'Yes' (draw market).
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three markets as if they are independent YES/NO outcomes (Tie wins, Mallorca wins, Elche wins), each resolving to YES if that outcome occurs. However, Kalshi's rules do not explicitly address cancellation, creating a logical gap: if the game is canceled, it is unclear which (if any) of the three mutually exclusive outcomes should resolve YES. This differs from Polymarket's explicit cancellation clause. Quote: 'If Tie wins the Elche vs Mallorca professional La Liga soccer game... then the market resolves to Yes' (and similarly for each outcome, but no cancellation rule stated).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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