TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Volume:
$613,226
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a La Liga match between Elche CF (home) and RCD Espanyol de Barcelona scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets span total goals scored (Kalshi) and match outcome/draw (Polymarket), all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket measure orthogonal settlement dimensions (total goals vs. match outcome). While both reference the same underlying match and identical time window (90 min + stoppage), they resolve to different data points and cannot be unified into a single resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi and Polymarket as separate market families. Kalshi resolves on aggregate goal count; Polymarket resolves on match result. A single match outcome (e.g., 2-2 draw) can simultaneously satisfy multiple markets across both platforms. Monitor both dimensions independently and do not assume cross-platform hedging.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Four independent total-goals markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5). Each resolves Yes if combined Elche + Espanyol goals exceed the stated threshold after 90 min + stoppage time. No cancellation or postponement rules stated; implicit assumption is that match completion is required.
- Polymarket: Three mutually-exclusive outcome markets: Elche win, draw, Espanyol win. Each resolves Yes/No based on match result only. Explicit postponement rule: market remains open until completion. Explicit cancellation rule: outcome markets (Elche win, Espanyol win) resolve No; draw market resolves Yes if canceled entirely with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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