TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
kalshi
polymarket

Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

Volume:
$613,226

Draw (Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona)

 - Polymarket

Draw (Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Mar 1, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$71,803
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,433
N/A
N/A
$41,966
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,678
N/A
N/A
$9,533
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,478
N/A
N/A
$2,895
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Elche CF

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$264,362
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200,848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,624
N/A
N/A
$4,777
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a La Liga match between Elche CF (home) and RCD Espanyol de Barcelona scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets span total goals scored (Kalshi) and match outcome/draw (Polymarket), all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket measure orthogonal settlement dimensions (total goals vs. match outcome). While both reference the same underlying match and identical time window (90 min + stoppage), they resolve to different data points and cannot be unified into a single resolution logic.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi and Polymarket as separate market families. Kalshi resolves on aggregate goal count; Polymarket resolves on match result. A single match outcome (e.g., 2-2 draw) can simultaneously satisfy multiple markets across both platforms. Monitor both dimensions independently and do not assume cross-platform hedging.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Four independent total-goals markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5). Each resolves Yes if combined Elche + Espanyol goals exceed the stated threshold after 90 min + stoppage time. No cancellation or postponement rules stated; implicit assumption is that match completion is required.
  • Polymarket: Three mutually-exclusive outcome markets: Elche win, draw, Espanyol win. Each resolves Yes/No based on match result only. Explicit postponement rule: market remains open until completion. Explicit cancellation rule: outcome markets (Elche win, Espanyol win) resolve No; draw market resolves Yes if canceled entirely with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.