Kalshi market definitions contain a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes (El Gouna win, Tie, El Hodood win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are clearly defined with binary outcomes tied to specific goal thresholds.
Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets in this group are safe to trade and resolve consistently. Kalshi markets appear to have a platform data entry error—the three definitions should either be three separate binary markets or one categorical market with Yes/No outcomes mapped to specific results. Contact Kalshi support to clarify market structure before any settlement occurs.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: All markets (spreads at -1.5/-2.5, over/unders at 1.5/2.5/3.5/4.5, both-teams-to-score) resolve to binary outcomes based on official efa.com.eg statistics within 2 hours of match end. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Example: 'This market will resolve to El Gouna SC if El Gouna SC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Haras El Hodood SC.'
Kalshi: Three market definitions all state identical resolution logic: 'If El Gouna wins... then Yes. If Tie wins... then Yes. If El Hodood wins... then Yes.' This is logically impossible in a binary Yes/No market structure, as all three mutually exclusive outcomes cannot resolve to the same outcome. Market structure is fundamentally contradictory and unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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