Date mismatch between platforms (June 26 vs June 27, 2026) and asymmetric cancellation resolution logic, particularly Polymarket's draw market resolving YES on cancellation while win markets resolve NO.
Hero Tip:
Confirm the official FIFA World Cup 2026 match date before trading. Be aware that if the match is canceled without a make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES while Egypt and Iran win markets resolve NO, creating a logical inconsistency. Limitless has a hard deadline of July 27, 2026, 03:00 UTC for official result publication.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: All three outcomes (Egypt win, Iran win, Draw) resolve YES if they occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on June 26, 2026. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided.
Limitless: Match scheduled for June 27, 2026. Draw resolves YES if match is not completed with official result by July 27, 2026, 03:00 UTC. Win markets resolve NO if not completed. Hard deadline for official result publication.
Polymarket: Match scheduled for June 26, 2026. Draw resolves YES if canceled entirely with no make-up game. Egypt and Iran win markets resolve NO if canceled. If postponed, markets remain open until completion. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
Predict: Match scheduled for June 26, 2026. All three outcomes resolve NO if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If postponed, markets remain open until completion. Symmetric cancellation logic across all outcome types.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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