TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Ecuador vs. Curaçao
Total volume:
$13,679
Volume 24h:
$929
14%
Liquidity:
$21,064
23%
Open interest:
$10,461
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, June 20, 2026 between Ecuador and Curaçao.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Three distinct resolution frameworks exist: (1) Kalshi has logically impossible resolution criteria where all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to Yes; (2) Limitless uses June 21, 2026 with a July 21 deadline and resolves Draw to YES on non-completion; (3) Polymarket and Predict use June 20, 2026 with opposite cancellation logic for Draw (YES on cancellation) versus Ecuador/Curaçao (NO on cancellation).Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets until resolution logic is corrected. For Limitless, confirm whether a June 21 date is official or a typo. For Polymarket and Predict, note that the Draw market has asymmetric cancellation risk compared to team-win markets. Cross-reference FIFA.com official schedule before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcomes (Ecuador win, Curaçao win, Tie) are stated to resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible since only one outcome can occur. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Ecuador wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Curacao wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Limitless: Match date listed as June 21, 2026 with July 21, 2026 00:00 UTC deadline. Draw market resolves YES if match is not completed by deadline. Quote: 'This market will resolve to YES if the match specified in the title ends in a draw... or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 21, 2026, 00:00 UTC.'
- Polymarket: Match date June 20, 2026. Ecuador and Curaçao win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Draw market resolves YES on cancellation. Quote for Draw: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' Quote for Ecuador/Curaçao: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to No.'
- Predict: Match date June 20, 2026. Ecuador and Curaçao win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Draw market resolves YES on cancellation. Identical logic to Polymarket. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw) versus 'this market will resolve to No' (Ecuador/Curaçao).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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