TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória
polymarket
kalshi

EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória

Volume:
$253,217

Draw (EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 12, 2026

Closed: Mar 11, 7:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,095
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,518
N/A
N/A
$4,413
Settled
Yes
polymarket

EC Bahia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82,302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bahia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,638
N/A
N/A
$34,951
Settled
No
polymarket

EC Vitória

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Vitoria

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,943
N/A
N/A
$10,158
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Brazilian Série A soccer match between EC Bahia and EC Vitória scheduled for March 11, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the three mutually exclusive outcomes: Bahia win, Vitória win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The draw market on Polymarket resolves YES upon game cancellation (no makeup), whereas Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation resolution for the draw outcome, creating asymmetric payoff profiles.Hero tip: Traders holding draw positions should verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol. Polymarket draw holders are protected; Kalshi draw holders face ambiguity. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw resolves YES while Kalshi may default to NO or remain open, creating a settlement mismatch.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Bahia win, Vitória win, draw). All three share identical postponement logic (remain open until played). Draw market uniquely resolves YES if game is canceled with no makeup. Win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Vitória win, Tie, Bahia win) that resolve YES only if the game is played and that outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation clause provided for any outcome. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.