TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Utah Utes (W)
Volume:
$212,994
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Eastern Kentucky Colonels and Utah Utes scheduled for March 19, 2026. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Eastern Kentucky wins and Utah wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure. Polymarket correctly maps outcomes to distinct winner names with explicit cancellation handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is broken and will create settlement disputes. Polymarket's structure is sound: it resolves to the winning team name or 50-50 if canceled. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/Yes mapping: both Eastern Kentucky win and Utah win resolve to Yes. This creates logical impossibility—the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes. No cancellation clause provided.
- Polymarket: Binary outcome mapping: Eastern Kentucky win resolves to Eastern Kentucky Colonels, Utah win resolves to Utah Utes. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA.com.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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